Fundamental Factor Report - Findings of 3 U.S Energy Stocks

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Rémy Gaussens

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March 8, 2023

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2

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Fundamental Factor Report - Findings of 3 U.S Energy Stocks

Light Crude Oil futures have been trading in a range between $70 and $84 dollars since November. The Energy Sector Fund (XLE) happens to be the best performing sector over the last 5 days with a gain of over 3.3%. A bottom in crude oil prices could help support oil stocks. Here is a look at a few U.S. energy stocks that look attractive from a fundamental and momentum perspective. The 3 stocks listed below have TC Quantamental scores that are above 7. U.S. equities with a TC Quantamental Rating of 7 or higher produced a 17.5% annualized return using a five year historical period with monthly rebalancing, compared to 8% for the S&P 500 index according to our research.

FUNDAMENTAL INSIGHT INTO THE U.S. ENERGY SECTOR

Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC : NYSE)

131.92 USD+6.73%In the last 5 days

Marathon Petroleum, an energy company engaged in the petroleum product refining, marketing, retail and midstream business in the United States, has a TC Quantamental rating of 7.6 out of 10 which is very strong and has been trending higher since October 2020. The highest factor score is growth at 8.7 out of 10 which is average for the Energy sector. The growth factor takes into account the year over year change in price/earnings, EPS growth, and revenue growth. The stock has a momentum factor score of 8 out of 10, which measures 3 and 12-month price momentum and is above average versus its peers.TC Quantamental Rating suggests the stock price should be around $152 per share over the next 12 months based on overall price volatility and suggests a 19.6% upside potential since it was last rated on Feb 15th.

Valero Energy Corp (VLO : NYSE)

139.69 USD+6.04%In the last 5 days

Valero Energy Corp, an international manufacturer and marketer of petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products, has a TC Quantamental rating of 7.3 out of 10 which is very strong and has been trending higher since August 2021. Growth is also the highest factor score at 8.6 out of 10. The Quality factor score is also very strong at 8.4 out of 10. The quality factor group measures the total financial strength of the company in regard to profitability, the robustness of its balance sheet, and earnings quality.TC Quantamental Rating suggests the stock price should be around $165 per share over the next 12 months based on overall price volatility and suggests a 21% upside potential since it was last rated on Feb 15th.

Par Pacific Holdings Inc (PARR : NYSE)

29.16 USD+4.97%In the last 5 days

Par Pacific Holdings owns and operates energy and infrastructure businesses. This stock caught our attention due to the impressive price move of over 50% since December. The stock has a strong TC Quantamental rating of 8 out of 10 which is the highest among the 3 stocks mentioned here and a quality factor score of 8.6, Momentum factor of 8.2 and growth rating of 8.1 making it one of the best all around fundamental factor rated stocks in the energy sector.TC Quantamental Rating suggests the stock price should be around $38 per share over the next 12 months based on overall price volatility and suggests a 35.4% upside potential since it was last rated on Feb 15th.

Rémy Gaussens

Research Director
Rémy has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Before joining TC in 2003, he worked for the CIC. He is the author of “Optimize your investment strategies”, and has been invited as a guest speaker to many well known financial conferences.

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